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Episode Description:

Marko Papic is the Chief Strategist at Clocktower Group, where he provides research on geopolitics, macroeconomics, and markets. Marko recently published Geopolitical Alpha: An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future, an imminently readable book with colorful examples of political analysis.Marko’s approach is akin to Moneyball for politics, challenging the orthodoxy of how others traditionally make investment decisions.

Our conversation covers Marko’s upbringing, the flaws of most political analysis, and his constraints-based framework. We then turn to the obvious political topic at hand – next week’s U.S. Presidential election. We discuss his views of different possible outcomes on the U.S. equity market, rates, tech stocks, China, private equity, ESG, Europe, and emerging markets.

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All opinions expressed by Ted and podcast guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of the firms they represent. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a basis for investment decisions.